Will ACA subsidies be extended in 2026?
Short answer: the bigger "enhanced" ACA subsidies expired on December 31, 2025. In January 2026 the House voted to bring them back for three years, but the Senate has not passed it. So for 2026 right now, the original (smaller) subsidies apply and the 400% income cliff is back. CobraCalc uses current law. We will update this page if the Senate acts.
What expired
The "enhanced" premium tax credits came from the 2021 American Rescue Plan and the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act. They did two big things: they capped premiums at 8.5% of income for everyone, and they removed the 400%-of-poverty subsidy cliff. Both ended on December 31, 2025. For 2026, the rules revert to the original sliding scale, and the 400% cliff (about $62,600 for one person) is back.
What's happening in Congress (as of June 2026)
- House: On January 8, 2026, the House passed a three-year extension, 230–196, with 17 Republicans joining Democrats.
- Senate: Has not voted, with no announced timeline. Senators are negotiating alternatives — a shorter (two-year) extension, income caps, a minimum premium contribution, revived cost-sharing payments, and larger health savings accounts.
- Bottom line: nothing is law yet. Until a bill clears the Senate and is signed, the enhanced subsidies stay expired.
What it means for you
- Higher premiums. Ending the enhanced credits is estimated to raise Marketplace premium payments by about 114% on average — roughly $1,016 more a year for a typical enrollee.
- The cliff is back. Earn one dollar over 400% of poverty (about $62,600 for a single person in 2026) and you lose all subsidy. See the 2026 subsidy cliff explained.
- Plan on current law. Build your 2026 budget on the rules as they are now. If an extension passes, your costs could drop — treat that as a possible good surprise, not something to count on.
What CobraCalc assumes
CobraCalc uses current law: the original post-2025 subsidy scale and the 400% cliff. If Congress restores the enhanced credits, we update the calculator and this page together. See our sources & methodology and editorial standards for how and when we update.
Sources
- Congressional Research Service — Enhanced Premium Tax Credit and 2026 Exchange Premiums
- KFF — Enhanced Premium Tax Credit calculator & analysis
- Health Affairs — Extending Enhanced Premium Tax Credits: Where Things Stand
Related
- The 2026 ACA subsidy cliff explained
- COBRA vs Marketplace calculator (after a layoff)
- COBRA vs Marketplace calculator (early retirees)
- Does severance affect ACA subsidies?
This page tracks public legislation and is an educational summary, not legal, tax, or insurance advice. Confirm current rules at HealthCare.gov or with a licensed professional. See the disclaimer.